Jose is moving due north into an area of strong shear and colder waters, which should lead to a weakening of the storm. A trough is also approaching from the west, and will interact with Jose by Tuesday. As a result of both of these factors, Jose will approach Long Island and New England as a weakening Tropical Storm that may be beginning the process of becoming a sub-tropical or extratropical low pressure system Tuesday through Wednesday morning.
Expected to be a tropical storm by Tuesday, Jose will likely produce winds around 30 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph along the immediate New Jersey, Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts coasts. Rainfall amounts will range from 2 to 3 inches around Nantucket, 1 to 2 inches over the rest of southeastern Massachusetts, and 0.5 to 1 inch of rain along the immediate New Jersey, Long Island, Connecticut, and Rhode Island coasts. Minor to moderate coastal flooding will also be a threat along the New Jersey coast up to southeastern Massachusetts, along with a very strong rip tide.